This course outline is currently unavailable. Please visit our archives to view previous course outlines.
This course covers survival models, their estimation and application to mortality and other decrements. Specific topics include the concept of a survival model and actuarial notation; estimation of lifetime distributions; multiple state models; maximum likelihood estimation of transition intensities; construction of multiple decrement tables; the binomial model of mortality and its estimation; models with transition intensities depending on age and duration; the census approximation and formulae; statistical comparison of crude rates with standard table; graduation of crude estimates and tests of fidelity and smoothness; analysis of mortality/morbidity and the main forms of selection; models for projection of populations. The analysis of data using a numerical computer package will form a part of the course assessment.