UK May trade fine as it Brexits the EU

Monday, 18 July 2016  Media Alerts

“As the UK Brexits stage left, we’ll see a huge interest in doing deals. What we need is a UK-Australia FTA as soon as possible,” says Tim Harcourt, the J.W. Nevile Fellow in Economics at the UNSW Business School. “After all, most exporting SMEs from Australia start in London anyway rather than the European continent anyway. London is a natural base for Aussie companies.”

He says a Free Trade Agreement (FTA) would be of huge benefit to Australia, and by signing one soon it could protect against an adverse impact to the British economy, following the vote to leave the European Union.

Mr Turnbull has said he is keen to take advantage of Britain's exit from the European Union, as Ms May takes over from David Cameron as British Prime Minister. He says “Turnbull and May have already had a constructive chat over a possible free trade agreement.”

He adds “Aussie business had better move fast - and we also need to watch out for competition from Asia. There are many other countries that will be keen to do a deal with the UK. Mind you, we've been let off the hook a bit as UK sorted out its ‘local difficulty’ with its European relationship," he adds. “But right now, trade talks in the UK are hotting up as much as this week’s heatwave in London - those in a cold snowy Canberra should take note, and move in fast.”

The UNSW Business School’s Tim Harcourt is the former Chief Economist of Austrade, and has researched how important a Free Trade agreement is for Australia.

He says there was once a UK-Australia Trade Agreement [UKATA], which came from an agreement called ‘imperial preference’ in 1932, but it was suspended when the UK acceded to the EU forty years ago. “We need to be aware the UK and Australia cannot dig out the old UK-Australia Trade Agreement out of the bottom drawer, dust it off and carry on. By starting talks today, Australia has made it clear it wants to be in the front of the queue.”

Tim Harcourt has reviewed the situation, and says legal obligations prevent Britain from signing deals while still an EU member, however farmers in particular are enviously eyeing up their traditional British market. “It would build an economic relationship that is very much the cornerstone of the British -Australian partnership.”

Tim Harcourt argues the UK could retain some of the good things the EU has brought like progressive social and environmental standards. “Norway and Switzerland have done fine outside the EU, including as trading partner of Europe, so I see no reason why the UK shouldn’t,” he says.

As an exceptionally frequent flyer and Airport Economist, he flies into Heathrow regularly, and hopes for one other small change. “A Brexit might also heal the hurt that Aussies of British parentage feel, when they have to queue in the non-EU passport line at Heathrow. Hopefully we can get the Commonwealth passport queue back. That really would be a change which would benefit all Aussies.”

For further comment call Tim Harcourt on 02 9385 3816, 0408 485 479, or Email tim.harcourt@unsw.edu.au.

Media contact: Julian Lorkin: 02 9385 9887

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